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SOYBEAN PRICES RISE IN CHICAGO AMID VOLATILE WEEK AND STRATEGIC INVESTOR MOVES

  • Writer: TGC
    TGC
  • 6 days ago
  • 1 min read

THE INTERNATIONAL SOYBEAN MARKET CLOSED HIGHER ON THE CHICAGO BOARD OF TRADE THIS WEEK, IN A CONTEXT MARKED BY VOLATILITY AND STRATEGIC POSITIONING BY INVESTORS. ACCORDING TO TF AGROECONOMICS, THE GAINS WERE MAINLY SUPPORTED BY OPPORTUNITY BUYING AND THE ACTIVITY OF INVESTMENT FUNDS THROUGHOUT THE DAY.


THE MOST TRADED CONTRACTS REGISTERED CONSISTENT GAINS. THE JANUARY CONTRACT CLOSED AT 1052,75 CENTS PER BUSHEL, UP 1,03%, WHILE THE MARCH CONTRACT ADVANCED 1,02% TO 1067,00 CENTS PER BUSHEL. IN THE SOY COMPLEX, SOYBEAN MEAL FOR JANUARY ROSE 2,31% TO 301,5 DOLLARS PER SHORT TON, WHILE SOYBEAN OIL SLIGHTLY FELL 0,37% TO 48,82 CENTS PER POUND.


THE VOLATILE WEEK WAS INFLUENCED BY RUMORS OF ADDITIONAL CHINESE PURCHASES, STILL AWAITING CONFIRMATION, ALONG WITH FUND ACTIVITY. HOWEVER, BEARISH FACTORS LIMITED STRONGER GAINS, INCLUDING FAVORABLE PRODUCTION EXPECTATIONS IN SOUTH AMERICA, WHERE WEATHER CONDITIONS REMAIN GOOD IN BRAZIL AND ARGENTINA.


IN BRAZIL, THE ONGOING HARVEST AND THE STRENGTHENING REAL AGAINST THE DOLLAR REDUCE EXPORT COMPETITIVENESS, DISCOURAGING SALES BY PRODUCERS. IN ADDITION, U.S. EXPORTS REMAIN BELOW LAST YEAR’S LEVELS, AND LOWER OIL PRICES HAVE NEGATIVELY IMPACTED SOYBEAN OIL.


ON THE OTHER HAND, BRAZIL’S EXPECTED RECORD EXPORTS IN 2026, PROJECTED AT 112 MILLION TONS, SUPPORT GLOBAL SUPPLY, EVEN THOUGH SALES TO CHINA ARE EXPECTED TO DECLINE COMPARED TO 2025, INFLUENCING THE BALANCE BETWEEN DEMAND AND INTERNATIONAL PRICES.

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